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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 46.95%. A win for Mainz 05 has a probability of 30.04% and a draw has a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.4%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win is 2-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.31%).
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
30.04% ( 0.09) | 23% ( -0.12) | 46.95% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 62.7% ( 0.5) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.76% ( 0.63) | 38.24% ( -0.63) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.48% ( 0.67) | 60.52% ( -0.67) |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.22% ( 0.36) | 24.77% ( -0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.65% ( 0.51) | 59.34% ( -0.51) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.35% ( 0.25) | 16.65% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.5% ( 0.45) | 46.5% ( -0.46) |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 7.2% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 1.87% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.64% Total : 30.04% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.99% | 1-2 @ 9.25% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 5.53% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.86% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 2.48% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.04) Other @ 4.35% Total : 46.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 7 | 25 | 23 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 20 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 16 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
6 | Freiburg | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 16 |
7 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Stuttgart | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
11 | Augsburg | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
12 | Heidenheim | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 10 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 9 |
15 | St Pauli | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 29 | -20 | 1 |
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