MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 07:54:41| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 10
Nov 9, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Mewa Arena
Dortmund logo

Mainz
vs.
Dortmund

Coverage of the Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Borussia Dortmund.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Freiburg 0-0 Mainz
Sunday, November 3 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 2-1 RB Leipzig
Saturday, November 2 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Dortmund vs. Sturm Graz
Tuesday, November 5 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 46.95%. A win for Mainz 05 has a probability of 30.04% and a draw has a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.4%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win is 2-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.31%).

Result
Mainz 05DrawBorussia Dortmund
30.04% (0.086000000000002 0.09) 23% (-0.121 -0.12) 46.95% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Both teams to score 62.7% (0.496 0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.76% (0.631 0.63)38.24% (-0.634 -0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.48% (0.668 0.67)60.52% (-0.671 -0.67)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.22% (0.36499999999999 0.36)24.77% (-0.369 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.65% (0.512 0.51)59.34% (-0.514 -0.51)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.35% (0.253 0.25)16.65% (-0.256 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.5% (0.455 0.45)46.5% (-0.46 -0.46)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 30.04%
    Borussia Dortmund 46.95%
    Draw 22.99%
Mainz 05DrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 7.2% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-0 @ 5.76% (-0.113 -0.11)
2-0 @ 4.02% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.35% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 3% (0.056 0.06)
3-0 @ 1.87% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.17% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 30.04%
1-1 @ 10.31% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 6.45% (0.054 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.13% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.79% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.99%
1-2 @ 9.25% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.4% (-0.161 -0.16)
0-2 @ 6.63% (-0.086 -0.09)
1-3 @ 5.53% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.96% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.86% (0.065 0.07)
1-4 @ 2.48% (0.036 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.78% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.73% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 4.35%
Total : 46.95%

Who will win Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz and Dortmund?

Mainz 05
Draw
Borussia Dortmund
Mainz 05
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Borussia Dortmund
0.0%
0
Head to Head
May 11, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 33
Mainz
3-0
Dortmund
Barreiro (12'), Jae-sung (19', 23')
Hanche-Olsen (45+1'), Barreiro (56')

Reus (41'), Schlotterbeck (80')
Dec 19, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
Dortmund
1-1
Mainz
Brandt (29')
Van den Berg (43')
Bell (39'), Burkardt (85'), Krauss (90'), Barkok (90+2')
May 27, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Dortmund
2-2
Mainz
Guerreiro (69'), Sule (90+6')
Guerreiro (40')
Hanche-Olsen (15'), Onisiwo (24')
Fernandes (71')
Jan 25, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 17
Mainz
1-2
Dortmund
Ryerson (4'), Reyna (90+3')
Mar 16, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 25
Mainz
0-1
Dortmund

Bell (43'), Stach (49'), Lucoqui (90+2')
Witsel (87')
Wolf (43'), Dahoud (44'), Pongracic (45+3'), Witsel (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern97203272523
2RB Leipzig96211551020
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt95222314917
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen94412015516
5Borussia DortmundDortmund95131715216
6Freiburg95131311216
7Union BerlinUnion Berlin943298115
8Stuttgart93421716113
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach94141514113
10Werder Bremen93331520-512
11Augsburg93241320-711
12Heidenheim93151212010
13Mainz 05Mainz92431213-110
14Wolfsburg92341617-19
15St Pauli9225711-48
16Hoffenheim92251319-68
17Holstein Kiel91261123-125
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum9018929-201


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