Bundesliga | Gameweek 10
Nov 9, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Mewa Arena
Mainz3 - 1Dortmund
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Freiburg 0-0 Mainz
Sunday, November 3 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Sunday, November 3 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Goals
for
for
12
Last Game: Dortmund 1-0 Sturm Graz
Tuesday, November 5 at 8pm in Champions League
Tuesday, November 5 at 8pm in Champions League
Goals
for
for
17
We said: Mainz 05 2-1 Borussia Dortmund
It is difficult to overlook the fact that Dortmund have been poor away from home in recent weeks, as well as that they will likely be forced to use midfielders in the defensive line. Mainz have a good opportunity to win against a vulnerable BVB side, and it would not be surprising if they managed to take advantage of the visitors' weaknesses on Saturday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 46.54%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.41%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
30.37% ( 0.01) | 23.08% ( -0.01) | 46.54% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 62.6% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
