Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Nov 24, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Holstein-Stadion
Holstein Kiel0 - 3Mainz
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-1 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, November 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, November 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Goals
for
for
12
We said: Holstein Kiel 1-2 Mainz 05
Given Holstein Kiel's poor defensive displays this season, they could concede at least twice once again on Sunday. Additionally, Mainz have been strong away from home in 2024-25, and they should be considered favourites. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.43%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Holstein Kiel | Draw | Mainz 05 |
32.79% ( 1.84) | 23.56% ( 1.05) | 43.65% ( -2.89) |
| Both teams to score 62.09% ( -3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.36% ( -4.3) | 39.63% ( 4.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.01% ( -4.63) | 61.98% ( 4.63) |
| Holstein Kiel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.19% ( -1.01) | 23.81% ( 1.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.02% ( -1.48) | 57.97% ( 1.48) |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.49% ( -2.81) | 18.5% ( 2.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.27% ( -4.97) | 49.72% ( 4.97) |
| Score Analysis |
Holstein Kiel 32.79%
Mainz 05 43.65%
Draw 23.55%
| Holstein Kiel | Draw | Mainz 05 |
| 2-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.41) 1-0 @ 6.32% ( 1.03)2-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.63)3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.22)3-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.24)4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.93% Total : 32.79% | 1-1 @ 10.66% ( 0.87) 2-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.25)0-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.83)3-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.3)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.55% | 1-2 @ 9% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 7.43% ( 0.81)0-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 5.06% ( -0.54)2-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.51)0-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.26)1-4 @ 2.14% ( -0.46)2-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.39)0-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.27)Other @ 3.58% Total : 43.65% |
How you voted: Holstein Kiel vs Mainz
Holstein Kiel
18.3%Draw
22.5%Mainz 05
59.2%71
Head to Head
Form Guide
