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Bundesliga | Gameweek 18
Jan 18, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Wolfsburg

Bayern
3 - 2
Wolfsburg

Goretzka (20', 62'), Olise (39')
Kimmich (79'), Laimer (83')
FT(HT: 2-1)
El Amine Amoura (24', 88')
Maehle (45+2'), Wimmer (61'), Fischer (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 5-0 Hoffenheim
Wednesday, January 15 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 5-1 Borussia M'bach
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 2-2 Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg will surrender possession and look to make the most of counter-attacks, and they could have some success considering the hosts will be without Palhinha in midfield. However, it is difficult to see how the Wolves can keep Bayern at bay, and the Bavarians are likely to have numerous opportunities in the final third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 82.17%. A draw had a probability of 11.5% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 6.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 3-1 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.26%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawWolfsburg
82.17% (1.157 1.16) 11.46% (-0.674 -0.67) 6.37% (-0.489 -0.49)
Both teams to score 50.68% (0.13 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.72% (1.515 1.52)27.28% (-1.522 -1.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.16% (1.888 1.89)47.84% (-1.893 -1.89)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.09% (0.479 0.48)4.91% (-0.485 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.3% (1.428 1.43)19.7% (-1.434 -1.43)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.29% (-0.135 -0.13)46.71% (0.13 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.73% (-0.104 -0.1)82.26% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 82.17%
    Wolfsburg 6.37%
    Draw 11.46%
Bayern MunichDrawWolfsburg
3-0 @ 10.46% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 10.41% (-0.29 -0.29)
3-1 @ 7.97% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-1 @ 7.93% (-0.254 -0.25)
4-0 @ 7.89% (0.274 0.27)
1-0 @ 6.91% (-0.423 -0.42)
4-1 @ 6% (0.188 0.19)
5-0 @ 4.76% (0.308 0.31)
5-1 @ 3.62% (0.223 0.22)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.011 -0.01)
6-0 @ 2.39% (0.224 0.22)
4-2 @ 2.29% (0.063 0.06)
6-1 @ 1.82% (0.165 0.17)
5-2 @ 1.38% (0.08 0.08)
7-0 @ 1.03% (0.126 0.13)
Other @ 4.3%
Total : 82.17%
1-1 @ 5.26% (-0.343 -0.34)
2-2 @ 3.02% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-0 @ 2.29% (-0.219 -0.22)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 11.46%
1-2 @ 2% (-0.138 -0.14)
0-1 @ 1.74% (-0.174 -0.17)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 6.37%

How you voted: Bayern vs Wolfsburg

Bayern Munich
81.7%
Draw
15.0%
Wolfsburg
3.3%
60
Head to Head
Aug 25, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Wolfsburg
2-3
Bayern
Majer (47' pen., 55')
Svanberg (71'), Zesiger (82')
Musiala (20'), Kaminski (65' og.), Gnabry (82')
Kane (31'), Boey (46'), Musiala (70')
May 12, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 33
Bayern
2-0
Wolfsburg
Zvonarek (4'), Goretzka (13')

Majer (53'), Lacroix (90+3')
Dec 20, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
Wolfsburg
1-2
Bayern
Arnold (45+1')
Zesiger (11'), Majer (46'), Baku (59'), Tomas (90+1')
Musiala (33'), Kane (43')
Pavlovic (20'), Guerreiro (90+1')
Feb 5, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 19
Wolfsburg
2-4
Bayern
Kaminski (44'), Svanberg (80')
Coman (9', 14'), Muller (19'), Musiala (73')
Aug 14, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 2
Bayern
2-0
Wolfsburg
Musiala (33'), Muller (44')
Hernandez (15'), Ulreich (23')

Svanberg (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern25194274235161
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen25158255302553
3Mainz 05Mainz25135742261644
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt25126751391242
5Freiburg2512583436-241
6RB Leipzig2510963933639
7Wolfsburg25108749391038
8Stuttgart2510784439537
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach25114103938137
10Borussia DortmundDortmund25105104539635
11Augsburg259882835-735
12Werder Bremen2596103849-1133
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2576122337-1427
14Hoffenheim2568113247-1526
15St Pauli2564151930-1122
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum2546152550-2518
17Holstein Kiel2545163761-2417
18Heidenheim2544172851-2316


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