Bundesliga | Gameweek 30
Apr 30, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Wolfsburg3 - 0Mainz
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-5 Wolfsburg
Saturday, April 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, April 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 3-1 Bayern
Saturday, April 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, April 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Wolfsburg 1-2 Mainz 05
Mainz have built serious momentum for themselves with an unbeaten run of 10 matches, and they should be full of confidence after dispatching Bayern last weekend. Wolfsburg have failed to win any of their last six home games and, although four of those have ended in draws, we can envisage a narrow victory for the away side on Sunday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Mainz 05 |
44.84% ( 0.21) | 23.92% ( 0.29) | 31.24% ( -0.51) |
| Both teams to score 60.06% ( -1.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
