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Dortmund logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Sep 6, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
FC Copenhagen

Dortmund
3 - 0
Copenhagen

Reus (35'), Guerreiro (42'), Bellingham (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Khotcholava (27'), Lerager (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Borussia Dortmund and Copenhagen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Borussia Dortmund 2-0 Copenhagen

In spite of Borussia Dortmund's heavily-occupied treatment room, Copenhagen's inconsistent form makes it difficult to envisage any shocks occurring at the Westfalenstadion, and Terzic may be boosted by a couple of attacking returnees either way. The Danish champions are still capable of frustrating their more revered hosts, but the Black and Yellow ought to kick off their Champions League campaign with a straightforward three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Copenhagen had a probability of 35.78% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.38%) and 3-2 (5.22%). The likeliest Copenhagen win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawCopenhagen
43.87% (-0.0019999999999953 -0) 20.35%35.78% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 75.67% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
77.5% (0.0019999999999953 0)22.5% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
58.42%41.58%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.37% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)11.63% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.35% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)36.64% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Copenhagen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.62% (0.00099999999999056 0)14.38% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.74% (0.0020000000000024 0)42.26% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 43.87%
    Copenhagen 35.78%
    Draw 20.35%
Borussia DortmundDrawCopenhagen
2-1 @ 7.51%
3-1 @ 5.38% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 5.22%
2-0 @ 3.87%
1-0 @ 3.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.9%
4-2 @ 2.81%
3-0 @ 2.78%
4-3 @ 1.82%
4-0 @ 1.49%
5-1 @ 1.25%
5-2 @ 1.21%
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 43.87%
2-2 @ 7.28%
1-1 @ 6.98%
3-3 @ 3.38%
0-0 @ 1.67%
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 20.35%
1-2 @ 6.77%
2-3 @ 4.71%
1-3 @ 4.37%
0-1 @ 3.24%
0-2 @ 3.14%
2-4 @ 2.28%
1-4 @ 2.12%
0-3 @ 2.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-4 @ 1.64%
0-4 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 4.49%
Total : 35.78%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Copenhagen

Borussia Dortmund
84.6%
Draw
10.1%
Copenhagen
5.2%
345
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