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Championship | Gameweek 17
Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Birmingham logo

Blackburn
2 - 1
Birmingham

Gallagher (17'), Wharton (42')
Vale (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Hogan (81')
Sanderson (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 2-0 Sunderland
Tuesday, October 18 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 1-1 Burnley
Wednesday, October 19 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-0 Birmingham City

Blackburn look set for an automatic promotion push this season and supporters will be expecting another three points against Birmingham this weekend. Birmingham are in good form but expended a lot of energy to earn a point off Burnley, and with the short turnaround from Wednesday night to Saturday, Blues might struggle to match a dangerous Rovers team. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 51.4%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 22.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawBirmingham City
51.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 26.32% (0.0010000000000012 0) 22.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 45.21% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.06%57.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)78.64% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.34% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)22.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)56.3% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.46% (0.00099999999999767 0)41.54% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.96% (0.0010000000000012 0)78.03% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 51.39%
    Birmingham City 22.28%
    Draw 26.31%
Blackburn RoversDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 13.97%
2-0 @ 10.37%
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 5.13%
3-1 @ 4.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 1.98%
4-0 @ 1.91%
4-1 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 51.39%
1-1 @ 12.27%
0-0 @ 9.41% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4%
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 8.27% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-2 @ 5.39% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 3.63%
1-3 @ 1.58%
2-3 @ 1.17%
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 22.28%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Birmingham

Blackburn Rovers
74.6%
Draw
11.9%
Birmingham City
13.6%
59
Head to Head
May 7, 2022 12.30pm
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Blackburn
4-0
Birmingham
Buckley (6'), Khadra (52'), Brereton Diaz (60' pen., 79')
Buckley (41')

Sunjic (43')
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
Blackburn
5-2
Birmingham
Armstrong (27' pen., 71', 85'), Brereton (45+1'), Elliott (83')
Pedersen (22'), Jutkiewicz (50')
Leko (26'), Stirk (40'), Pedersen (67')
Jan 2, 2021 3pm
Birmingham
0-2
Blackburn

Sanchez (85')
Armstrong (10'), Dack (90+1')
Travis (39'), Douglas (81'), Armstrong (83')
Jan 4, 2020 12.31pm
Birmingham
2-1
Blackburn
Crowley (4'), Bela (90')
Gimenez (54')
Sunjic (60')
Armstrong (61' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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