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Championship | Gameweek 17
Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Birmingham logo

Blackburn
2 - 1
Birmingham

Gallagher (17'), Wharton (42')
Vale (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Hogan (81')
Sanderson (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 2-0 Sunderland
Tuesday, October 18 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 1-1 Burnley
Wednesday, October 19 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-0 Birmingham City

Blackburn look set for an automatic promotion push this season and supporters will be expecting another three points against Birmingham this weekend. Birmingham are in good form but expended a lot of energy to earn a point off Burnley, and with the short turnaround from Wednesday night to Saturday, Blues might struggle to match a dangerous Rovers team. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 51.4%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 22.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawBirmingham City
51.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 26.32% (0.0010000000000012 0) 22.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 45.21% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.06%57.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)78.64% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.34% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)22.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)56.3% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.46% (0.00099999999999767 0)41.54% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.96% (0.0010000000000012 0)78.03% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 51.39%
    Birmingham City 22.28%
    Draw 26.31%
Blackburn RoversDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 13.97%
2-0 @ 10.37%
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 5.13%
3-1 @ 4.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 1.98%
4-0 @ 1.91%
4-1 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 51.39%
1-1 @ 12.27%
0-0 @ 9.41% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4%
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 8.27% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-2 @ 5.39% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 3.63%
1-3 @ 1.58%
2-3 @ 1.17%
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 22.28%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Birmingham

Blackburn Rovers
74.6%
Draw
11.9%
Birmingham City
13.6%
59
Head to Head
May 7, 2022 12.30pm
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Blackburn
4-0
Birmingham
Buckley (6'), Khadra (52'), Brereton Diaz (60' pen., 79')
Buckley (41')

Sunjic (43')
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
Blackburn
5-2
Birmingham
Armstrong (27' pen., 71', 85'), Brereton (45+1'), Elliott (83')
Pedersen (22'), Jutkiewicz (50')
Leko (26'), Stirk (40'), Pedersen (67')
Jan 2, 2021 3pm
Birmingham
0-2
Blackburn

Sanchez (85')
Armstrong (10'), Dack (90+1')
Travis (39'), Douglas (81'), Armstrong (83')
Jan 4, 2020 12.31pm
Birmingham
2-1
Blackburn
Crowley (4'), Bela (90')
Gimenez (54')
Sunjic (60')
Armstrong (61' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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