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Championship | Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Bristol City

Blackburn
3 - 0
Bristol City

Travis (17'), Ohashi (55', 70')
FT(HT: 1-0)

McNally (11'), Sykes (44'), Mehmeti (74'), Roberts (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 1-1 Blackburn
Saturday, August 31 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Derby 3-0 Bristol City
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-1 Bristol City

With Bristol City extra motivated to bounce back from their heavy defeat to Derby, we expect them to run Blackburn close on Saturday. However, the home side have only impressed this campaign and that could continue at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 33.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawBristol City
40.36% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 26.49% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 33.15% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 52.12% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.35% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)52.65% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.71% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03)74.29% (0.030999999999992 0.03)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.35% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)25.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)60.55% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.1% (-0.038000000000011 -0.04)29.89% (0.038999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)65.99% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 40.35%
    Bristol City 33.15%
    Draw 26.48%
Blackburn RoversDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 10.43% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.57% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 7.1% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.89%
3-0 @ 3.22% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.32%
4-0 @ 1.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 40.35%
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 7.67% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.48%
0-1 @ 9.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 7.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.59% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 3.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.25% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 33.15%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Bristol City

Blackburn Rovers
64.3%
Draw
17.9%
Bristol City
17.9%
56
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 42
Bristol City
5-0
Blackburn
Conway (24', 32' pen.), Mehmeti (73'), Wells (78' pen., 90+6')
Dec 12, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Blackburn
2-1
Bristol City
Sigurdsson (35'), Wharton (52')
Carter (22'), Brittain (85'), Szmodics (88'), Travis (89')
Sykes (60')
Knight (51')
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 8
Blackburn
2-3
Bristol City
Dolan (71'), Brereton Diaz (90+3')
Wharton (7'), Pickering (67')
Conway (42'), Wells (55', 73')
James (57'), Scott (58')
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 37
Blackburn
0-1
Bristol City

Khadra (49')
Weimann (90+2')
Scott (26'), Bentley (87'), Weimann (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland96121881019
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd9630123919
3Burnley95311441018
4West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom9522126617
5Leeds UnitedLeeds9441157816
6Watford95131414016
7Norwich CityNorwich94321610615
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn94321511415
9Middlesbrough9423107314
10Oxford UnitedOxford Utd93331311212
11Swansea CitySwansea933386212
12Derby CountyDerby94051212012
13Hull City93331213-112
14Plymouth ArgylePlymouth93241013-311
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds93241115-411
16Bristol City92521014-411
17Stoke CityStoke93151012-210
18Millwall9234121119
19Preston North EndPreston9234712-59
20Coventry CityCoventry92251013-38
21Luton TownLuton9225815-78
22Queens Park RangersQPR9144916-77
23Portsmouth9054920-115
24Cardiff CityCardiff9126418-145


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