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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 33.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Bristol City |
40.36% ( 0.02) | 26.49% ( 0.01) | 33.15% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 52.12% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.35% ( -0.04) | 52.65% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.71% ( -0.03) | 74.29% ( 0.03) |
Blackburn Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.35% ( -0) | 25.65% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.45% ( -0) | 60.55% ( 0) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.1% ( -0.04) | 29.89% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34% ( -0.05) | 65.99% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Bristol City |
1-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.57% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.89% 3-0 @ 3.22% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.32% 4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 40.35% | 1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.48% | 0-1 @ 9.26% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.61% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.59% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 33.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 19 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 19 |
3 | Burnley | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 18 |
4 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 17 |
5 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 16 |
6 | Watford | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 16 |
7 | Norwich CityNorwich | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 15 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 15 |
9 | Middlesbrough | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 14 |
10 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 12 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 |
13 | Hull City | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
14 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Bristol City | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 11 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
18 | Millwall | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 9 |
19 | Preston North EndPreston | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 9 |
20 | Coventry CityCoventry | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 8 |
22 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
23 | Portsmouth | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 5 |
24 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 18 | -14 | 5 |
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