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Coventry City
Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Coventry Building Society Arena
Plymouth Argyle

Coventry
4 - 0
Plymouth

Sakamoto (5'), Eccles (20', 45'), Mason-Clark (39')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Szucs (85')
Wright (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Championship clash between Coventry City and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portsmouth 4-1 Coventry
Saturday, December 21 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 3-3 Middlesbrough
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Coventry City 2-1 Plymouth Argyle

Although their Portsmouth performance highlighted major areas of weakness, Coventry will seriously fancy their chances of beating a Plymouth side who are terrible on their Championship travels. The Green Army will be hoping for a Christmas miracle in the form of an away victory on Boxing Day, although we do not believe that their prayers will be answered. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 73.13%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 10.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.91%) and 3-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.8%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (3.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.

Result
Coventry CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
73.13% (0.26700000000001 0.27) 16.48% (-0.31 -0.31) 10.38% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 49.54% (1.305 1.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.75% (1.609 1.61)38.25% (-1.615 -1.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.47% (1.689 1.69)60.52% (-1.694 -1.69)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.93% (0.468 0.47)9.06% (-0.4739 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.17% (1.117 1.12)30.83% (-1.123 -1.12)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.48% (1.157 1.16)45.52% (-1.163 -1.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.65% (0.894 0.89)81.34% (-0.899 -0.9)
Score Analysis
    Coventry City 73.13%
    Plymouth Argyle 10.38%
    Draw 16.48%
Coventry CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-0 @ 11.89% (-0.4 -0.4)
1-0 @ 9.91% (-0.554 -0.55)
3-0 @ 9.52% (-0.114 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.49% (0.153 0.15)
4-0 @ 5.71% (0.054 0.05)
4-1 @ 4.5% (0.185 0.19)
3-2 @ 2.95% (0.152 0.15)
5-0 @ 2.74% (0.083 0.08)
5-1 @ 2.16% (0.132 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.77% (0.127 0.13)
6-0 @ 1.1% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 73.13%
1-1 @ 7.8% (-0.174 -0.17)
0-0 @ 4.13% (-0.326 -0.33)
2-2 @ 3.68% (0.115 0.12)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 16.48%
0-1 @ 3.25% (-0.144 -0.14)
1-2 @ 3.07% (0.033 0.03)
0-2 @ 1.28% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.97% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 10.38%

How you voted: Coventry vs Plymouth

Coventry City
71.1%
Draw
5.3%
Plymouth Argyle
23.7%
38
Head to Head
Feb 14, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Plymouth
2-2
Coventry
Whittaker (54'), Miller (68')
Randell (18')
Simms (65'), Kitching (90+6')
Simms (63'), Latibeaudiere (75'), Thomas (84')
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Coventry
1-0
Plymouth
Wright (75')
Bidwell (90+3')

Cooper (76'), Houghton (76'), Gibson (83')
Jan 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 29
Plymouth
2-1
Coventry
Lameiras (63', 70')
Sarcevic (35'), Songo'o (47'), Smith-Brown (54')
Chaplin (55')
Mason (43')
Aug 18, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 3
Coventry
1-0
Plymouth
Bakayoko (43' pen.)

Ness (44'), Carey (44'), Taylor (84')
Ness (58')
Nov 12, 2014 7.45pm
Area Quarter-Finals
Coventry
2-0
Plymouth
Madine (61'), Nouble (85')
Maddison (26'), Barton (84'), Webster (93')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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