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Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Wigan logo

Stoke
0 - 1
Wigan


Thompson (27'), Powell (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Keane (54')
Power (32'), Nyambe (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Wigan Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 1-2 West Brom
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackpool 1-0 Wigan
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 2-1 Wigan Athletic

Wigan desperately need to go for the victory on Tuesday, which should play into Stoke's hands. The home side do not have much to play for at this stage of the campaign but are likely to be too strong for Wigan, who look set to drop back down into League One for the 2023-24 campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 53.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 21.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawWigan Athletic
53.66% (-0.599 -0.6) 24.9% (0.186 0.19) 21.43% (0.41 0.41)
Both teams to score 48.08% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.38% (-0.28 -0.28)53.62% (0.27699999999999 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.88% (-0.236 -0.24)75.12% (0.232 0.23)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.05% (-0.34999999999999 -0.35)19.95% (0.346 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.89% (-0.562 -0.56)52.11% (0.558 0.56)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.06% (0.26 0.26)39.93% (-0.265 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.41% (0.24 0.24)76.59% (-0.244 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 53.66%
    Wigan Athletic 21.43%
    Draw 24.9%
Stoke CityDrawWigan Athletic
1-0 @ 12.84%
2-0 @ 10.35% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.56% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-1 @ 5.11% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.24% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.06% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 53.66%
1-1 @ 11.78% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 7.97% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.36% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 24.9%
0-1 @ 7.31% (0.131 0.13)
1-2 @ 5.41% (0.077 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.36% (0.084 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.66% (0.035 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.33% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.03% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 21.43%

How you voted: Stoke vs Wigan

Stoke City
75.0%
Draw
6.8%
Wigan Athletic
18.2%
44
Head to Head
Nov 2, 2022 7.45pm
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Fourth Round
Stoke
2-0
Wigan
Maja (14'), Brown (62')
Thompson (53'), Wilmot (60')

Kerr (45+2'), Edwards (69')
Edwards (74')
Jul 27, 2021 7.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Wigan
2-1
Stoke
Lang (36'), Humphrys (80')
Ince (43')
Jun 30, 2020 7.45pm
Nov 23, 2019 3pm
Stoke
2-1
Wigan
Batth (55'), Biram Diouf (92')
McClean (41'), Ward (77'), Ndiaye (96')
Morsy (39')
Byrne (54'), Morsy (96')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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