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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 53.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 21.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
53.66% ( -0.6) | 24.9% ( 0.19) | 21.43% ( 0.41) |
Both teams to score 48.08% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.38% ( -0.28) | 53.62% ( 0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.88% ( -0.24) | 75.12% ( 0.23) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.05% ( -0.35) | 19.95% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.89% ( -0.56) | 52.11% ( 0.56) |
Wigan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.06% ( 0.26) | 39.93% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.41% ( 0.24) | 76.59% ( -0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
1-0 @ 12.84% 2-0 @ 10.35% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.72% Total : 53.66% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.79% Total : 24.9% | 0-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.34% Total : 21.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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