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Championship | Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2024 at 8pm UK
Vicarage Road
Leeds logo

Watford
2 - 2
Leeds

Issouf Bayo (31'), Dennis (44')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Summerville (37'), Fernandez (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Watford and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 0-1 Watford
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Watford 0-2 Leeds United

Watford would do well to target a potentially decimated left-hand side of the Leeds XI, but the hosts just cannot buy a win at Vicarage Road, and the new manager bounce should only take them so far this weekend. With Leeds possessing the formula for clean sheets on the road during their near-impeccable start to 2024, the visitors should pick up where they left off before the international break and maintain their standing in first place, in spite of their fresh fitness issues. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 51.45%. A win for Watford had a probability of 24.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (8.56%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawLeeds United
24.84% (0.0040000000000013 0) 23.71% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 51.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 55.8% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)45.38% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)67.72% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.77% (0.0049999999999955 0)32.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)68.72% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.34% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)17.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.72%48.28%
Score Analysis
    Watford 24.84%
    Leeds United 51.45%
    Draw 23.7%
WatfordDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 6.45%
2-1 @ 6.33% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 3.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 2.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 24.84%
1-1 @ 11.17%
0-0 @ 5.69% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.48%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.7%
0-1 @ 9.87% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 9.69%
0-2 @ 8.56% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 5.6%
0-3 @ 4.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 3.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 2.43%
0-4 @ 2.14% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-4 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 51.45%

How you voted: Watford vs Leeds

Watford
16.5%
Draw
5.8%
Leeds United
77.7%
139
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Leeds
3-0
Watford
Piroe (67'), Byram (70'), Anthony (89')
Rutter (40')

Andrews (43'), Bachmann (67'), Issouf Bayo (87')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 32
Watford
0-3
Leeds

Louza (57'), Sissoko (80')
Raphinha (21'), Rodrigo (73'), Harrison (85')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 7
Leeds
1-0
Watford
Llorente (18')

Femenia (59'), Sarr (65'), Dennis (90')
Feb 20, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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