Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 50.54%. A win for Sichuan Jiuniu had a probability of 24.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (9.01%). The likeliest Sichuan Jiuniu win was 1-0 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Shanghai Shenhua in this match.