Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 28, 2021 at 1am UK
LDU Quito5 - 2Union La Calera
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 58.07%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Union La Calera had a probability of 19.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Union La Calera win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that LDU Quito would win this match.
| Result | ||
| LDU Quito | Draw | Union La Calera |
| 58.07% | 22.41% | 19.52% |
| Both teams to score 52.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
