Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 10, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
Tolima1 - 0Junior
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Deportes Tolima and Atletico Junior.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportes Tolima win with a probability of 43.57%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Atletico Junior had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportes Tolima win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.78%) and 2-1 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.13%), while for an Atletico Junior win it was 0-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Deportes Tolima in this match.
| Result | ||
| Deportes Tolima | Draw | Atletico Junior |
43.57% ( -0.11) | 28.72% ( 0.17) | 27.7% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 43.47% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.49% ( -0.57) | 62.5% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.89% ( -0.41) | 82.11% ( 0.42) |
| Deportes Tolima Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.46% ( -0.33) | 28.54% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.67% ( -0.42) | 64.33% ( 0.42) |
| Atletico Junior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.84% ( -0.37) | 39.16% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.13% ( -0.35) | 75.87% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
Deportes Tolima 43.57%
Atletico Junior 27.7%
Draw 28.7%
| Deportes Tolima | Draw | Atletico Junior |
| 1-0 @ 14.01% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 8.24% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.59% Total : 43.57% | 1-1 @ 13.13% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.17% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.54% Total : 28.7% | 0-1 @ 10.47% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.49% Total : 27.7% |
