Coppa Italia | First Round
Aug 12, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Cagliari3 - 1Carrarese
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Modena 2-2 Cagliari
Saturday, August 3 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 3
Saturday, August 3 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Carrarese 2-1 Catania
Saturday, August 3 at 5pm in Coppa Italia
Saturday, August 3 at 5pm in Coppa Italia
We said: Cagliari 2-1 Carrarese
No matter what time of the season, Cagliari are generally tough to beat on Sardinian soil, and a fairly settled squad should start the 2024-25 campaign with a win; little Carrarese are Serie B newcomers and lack experience against top-tier opposition. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 52.94%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Carrarese had a probability of 22.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Carrarese win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Carrarese |
52.94% ( -0.44) | 24.1% ( -0.04) | 22.95% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 52.38% ( 0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
