EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Colchester3 - 0Arsenal U21s
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Barrow 1-1 Colchester
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League Two
Goals
for
for
17
Last Game: Chelsea U21s 2-1 Arsenal U21s
Friday, November 1 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Friday, November 1 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Goals
for
for
19
We said: Colchester United 2-2 Arsenal Under-21s (Colchester win on penalties)
Tuesday's tie has all the makings of a goal-laden thriller, as Arsenal's defending has been nothing short of woeful over the past few weeks, but Colchester are set to be working with limited options at the back. It may take the dreaded 12-yard shootout to settle these two teams, and Colchester's more experienced heads will likely prevail if that is the case, although both sides should be celebrating progression to the knockout rounds come full time. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 51.33%. A win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.6%) and 1-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Arsenal Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Arsenal Under-21s |
51.33% ( 0.02) | 21.62% ( -0.02) | 27.04% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 65.45% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
