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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.74%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 2-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Vitesse in this match.
Result | ||
FC Volendam | Draw | Vitesse |
31.31% ( -0.02) | 23.56% ( 0.48) | 45.13% ( -0.46) |
Both teams to score 61.39% ( -1.78) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.73% ( -2.33) | 40.26% ( 2.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.36% ( -2.44) | 62.64% ( 2.44) |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.01% ( -1.15) | 24.99% ( 1.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.36% ( -1.62) | 59.64% ( 1.62) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.85% ( -1.1) | 18.15% ( 1.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.87% ( -1.91) | 49.13% ( 1.91) |
Score Analysis |
FC Volendam | Draw | Vitesse |
2-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.46) 2-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.62% Total : 31.31% | 1-1 @ 10.73% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.47) 3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.56% | 1-2 @ 9.16% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.55) 0-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 5.21% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 3.76% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.24) 1-4 @ 2.22% ( -0.16) 0-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.16) Other @ 3.68% Total : 45.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |