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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 60.01%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 17.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Groningen win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | Groningen |
60.01% ( -0.03) | 22.41% ( 0.01) | 17.58% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 49.34% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.25% ( -0) | 48.75% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.14% ( -0) | 70.86% ( 0.01) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.16% ( -0.01) | 15.84% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.97% ( -0.02) | 45.03% ( 0.02) |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.62% ( 0.02) | 41.38% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.11% ( 0.02) | 77.89% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | Groningen |
1-0 @ 12.07% 2-0 @ 11.12% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.03% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.15% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.78% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.23% 5-0 @ 1.16% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.13% Total : 60% | 1-1 @ 10.65% 0-0 @ 6.56% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( 0) Other @ 0.87% Total : 22.41% | 0-1 @ 5.78% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.7% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.55% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.38% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( 0) Other @ 1.88% Total : 17.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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