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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 59.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 19.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.44%) and 0-1 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 2-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Feyenoord in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Feyenoord.
Result | ||
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Feyenoord |
19.82% ( -0.5) | 20.32% ( -0.19) | 59.87% ( 0.69) |
Both teams to score 60.64% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.19% ( 0.17) | 35.81% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.11% ( 0.19) | 57.89% ( -0.19) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.67% ( -0.37) | 31.33% ( 0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.31% ( -0.43) | 67.69% ( 0.43) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.31% ( 0.24) | 11.69% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.21% ( 0.51) | 36.79% ( -0.51) |
Score Analysis |
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Feyenoord |
2-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.6% Total : 19.82% | 1-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.27% Total : 20.32% | 1-2 @ 9.79% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.44% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 7.01% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 6.04% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 4.07% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3.76% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 3.24% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.61% ( 0.05) 0-5 @ 1.39% ( 0.05) 2-5 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.55% Total : 59.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 15 | 46 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 42 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 39 |
4 | Feyenoord | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Heerenveen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
10 | Willem II | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 22 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 17 |
15 | Heracles | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 7 |
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