MX23RW : Friday, May 24 06:45:51| >> :600:2802190:2802190:
Feyenoord
KNVB Beker | Final
Apr 21, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadion Feijenoord
NEC

Feyenoord
1 - 0
Nijmegen

Paixao (59')
Minteh (71'), Maduro (90+8')
Minteh (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Verdonk (67'), Hansen (68')

The Match

Match Report

Ten-man Feyenoord claim a narrow 1-0 win over NEC in Sunday's KNVB Beker final to win the competition for the 14th time in their history.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's KNVB Beker clash between Feyenoord and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sittard 0-1 Feyenoord
Sunday, April 14 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 2-2 PEC Zwolle
Sunday, April 14 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 72.98%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for NEC had a probability of 11.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 3-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.36%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.

Result
FeyenoordDrawNEC
72.98% (1.071 1.07) 15.97% (-0.473 -0.47) 11.05% (-0.606 -0.61)
Both teams to score 54.16% (-0.331 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.37% (0.60599999999999 0.61)33.63% (-0.613 -0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.55% (0.687 0.69)55.44% (-0.695 -0.7)
Feyenoord Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.03% (0.374 0.37)7.97% (-0.381 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.87% (0.944 0.94)28.12% (-0.953 -0.95)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.85% (-0.606 -0.61)41.14% (0.598 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.31% (-0.543 -0.54)77.68% (0.535 0.53)
Score Analysis
    Feyenoord 72.98%
    NEC 11.05%
    Draw 15.97%
FeyenoordDrawNEC
2-0 @ 10.49% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-0 @ 8.85% (0.209 0.21)
1-0 @ 8.29% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-1 @ 7.86% (0.058 0.06)
4-0 @ 5.6% (0.232 0.23)
4-1 @ 4.97% (0.128 0.13)
3-2 @ 3.49% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-0 @ 2.83% (0.167 0.17)
5-1 @ 2.51% (0.109 0.11)
4-2 @ 2.21% (0.021 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.19% (0.091 0.09)
5-2 @ 1.12% (0.03 0.03)
6-1 @ 1.06% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 72.98%
1-1 @ 7.36% (-0.222 -0.22)
2-2 @ 4.14% (-0.116 -0.12)
0-0 @ 3.28% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 15.97%
1-2 @ 3.27% (-0.154 -0.15)
0-1 @ 2.91% (-0.144 -0.14)
0-2 @ 1.29% (-0.087 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.22% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-3 @ 0.97% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 11.05%

How you voted: Feyenoord vs Nijmegen

Feyenoord
76.7%
Draw
13.3%
NEC
10.0%
30
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2024 3.45pm
Gameweek 17
Feyenoord
2-2
Nijmegen
Dilrosun (17'), Gimenez (28')
Maduro (27'), Wieffer (75')
Proper (45+1'), Mattsson (53')
van Rooij (24'), Verdonk (90+1')
Feb 8, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
Feyenoord
4-4
Nijmegen
(Aggregate 4-4 | Feyenoord win 5-3 on penalties)
Kokcu (90' pen.), Paixao (90+2'), Gimenez (98'), Dilrosun (116')
Verdonk (33'), Marques (45'), Bruijn (96', 118')
Jan 25, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 18
Feyenoord
2-0
Nijmegen
Dilrosun (9'), Kokcu (45+3' pen.)
Oct 2, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 8
Nijmegen
1-1
Feyenoord
Marquez (37')
Maduro (23')
Jan 23, 2022 11.15am
Gameweek 18
Nijmegen
1-4
Feyenoord
Schone (17')
Marquez (87')
Kokcu (32' pen., 53'), Jahanbakhsh (64'), Til (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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