MX23RW : Monday, March 10 20:58:29| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Groningen
Eredivisie | Gameweek 20
Jan 25, 2025 at 8pm UK
Euroborg
Heerenveen

Groningen
1 - 0
Heerenveen

Valente (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Groningen and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 2-1 Groningen
Saturday, January 18 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 0-2 Ajax
Sunday, January 19 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Groningen 1-0 Heerenveen

In a game featuring two of the lowest-scoring teams so far, we are expecting a tight and nervy contest with little goalmouth action. That said, we can see the home side narrowly coming out on top at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 48.69%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 0-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Groningen in this match.

Result
GroningenDrawHeerenveen
48.69% (0.085000000000001 0.09) 24.49% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 26.82% (-0.064 -0.06)
Both teams to score 55.14% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.85% (0.052999999999997 0.05)47.14% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.62% (0.048999999999999 0.05)69.38% (-0.047000000000011 -0.05)
Groningen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.58% (0.055999999999997 0.06)19.42% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.75% (0.093000000000004 0.09)51.25% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.42% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)31.57% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.02% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)67.98% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Groningen 48.68%
    Heerenveen 26.82%
    Draw 24.48%
GroningenDrawHeerenveen
1-0 @ 10.04% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.24% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.19% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.5% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.99% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.13% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.84% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.23% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 48.68%
1-1 @ 11.58% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.13% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.48%
0-1 @ 7.07% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.07% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 26.82%

How you voted: Groningen vs Heerenveen

Groningen
57.1%
Draw
25.0%
Heerenveen
17.9%
56
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2024 11.15am
Gameweek 6
Heerenveen
2-1
Groningen
Trenskow (12'), Nicolaescu (69')
Nicolaescu (70')
Valente (9')
Vaessen (86'), Mendes (90'), Valente (90')
Peersman (63'), Darri Willumsson (82')
Mar 19, 2023 11.15am
Jan 22, 2023 11.15am
Gameweek 17
Heerenveen
3-1
Groningen
Sarr (5', 82'), Van Amersfoort (81')
Kruger (40')
Apr 10, 2022 11.15am
Gameweek 26
Heerenveen
3-1
Groningen
Van Hooijdonk (7', 53'), Van Beek (80')
Kaib (42'), Dresevic (65')
Sep 12, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 4
Groningen
1-1
Heerenveen
Ngonge (68')
Duarte (59'), te Wierik (70'), Buijs (90+1')
te Wierik (84')
Halilovic (19')
Madsen (45'), Halilovic (70'), Woudenberg (79'), Stevanovic (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax25203253183563
2PSV EindhovenPSV25174475304555
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2514744638849
4FC Twente25137550311946
5Feyenoord24128448272144
6AZ AlkmaarAZ24134740241643
7Go Ahead Eagles2512584640641
8Fortuna SittardSittard2595113242-1032
9Heerenveen2586113145-1430
10Groningen2477102333-1028
11NAC BredaNAC Breda2584132743-1628
12Heracles2569103246-1427
13NECNijmegen2575133637-126
14PEC Zwolle2567122940-1125
15Sparta RotterdamSparta2559112434-1024
16Willem II2566132841-1324
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2445153249-1717
18Almere CityAlmere City2535171549-3414


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