MX23RW : Monday, March 10 19:38:06| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Heerenveen
Eredivisie | Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2025 at 11.15am UK
Abe Lenstra Stadion
AZ Alkmaar

Heerenveen
3 - 1
AZ

Lukovic (5'), Sebaoui (57'), Linday (90+4')
de Wijs (81'), Noppert (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Buurmeester (76')
Belic (34'), Smit (90+6'), Goes (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-1 Heerenveen
Sunday, February 16 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heracles 2-2 AZ (3-4 pen.)
Thursday, February 27 at 7pm in KNVB Beker

We said: Heerenveen 1-3 AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar should certainly face a tougher test than their 9-1 win in the reverse fixture, but with momentum on their side against a struggling Heerenveen team on the back of the loss of their manager, we back the visitors to come out on top on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 45.16%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 2-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
HeerenveenDrawAZ Alkmaar
30.59% (-0.774 -0.77) 24.24% (-0.138 -0.14) 45.16% (0.91099999999999 0.91)
Both teams to score 58.57% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.19% (0.275 0.27)43.81% (-0.274 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.8% (0.268 0.27)66.19% (-0.267 -0.27)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.81% (-0.36499999999999 -0.36)27.19% (0.365 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.4% (-0.479 -0.48)62.6% (0.479 0.48)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.44% (0.505 0.5)19.56% (-0.504 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.53% (0.815 0.81)51.47% (-0.815 -0.81)
Score Analysis
    Heerenveen 30.59%
    AZ Alkmaar 45.16%
    Draw 24.24%
HeerenveenDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 7.36% (-0.125 -0.13)
1-0 @ 6.93% (-0.155 -0.16)
2-0 @ 4.51% (-0.15 -0.15)
3-1 @ 3.2% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.96% (-0.086 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 3%
Total : 30.59%
1-1 @ 11.3% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-2 @ 6% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.32% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.24%
1-2 @ 9.22% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
0-1 @ 8.68% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.08% (0.136 0.14)
1-3 @ 5.02% (0.123 0.12)
0-3 @ 3.85% (0.133 0.13)
2-3 @ 3.27% (0.047 0.05)
1-4 @ 2.05% (0.081 0.08)
0-4 @ 1.57% (0.078 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.33% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 45.16%

How you voted: Heerenveen vs AZ

Heerenveen
10.0%
Draw
0.0%
AZ Alkmaar
90.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 5
AZ
9-1
Heerenveen
Mijnans (4'), Parrott (23', 48', 50', 56'), Sadiq (72'), Meerdink (75'), Belic (82'), Buurmeester (85')
Brouwers (19')
Karlsbakk (80')
Jan 28, 2024 11.15am
Gameweek 19
Heerenveen
2-2
AZ
Clasie (24' og.), Brouwers (51')
van Amersfoort (8'), Brouwers (80')
Pavlidis (20'), Bochniewicz (88' og.)
de Wit (23'), Mijnans (33')
Kasius (40')
Oct 21, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 9
AZ
3-0
Heerenveen
Pavlidis (11', 59', 76')
Bazoer (24')

Brouwers (11')
Apr 1, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 27
AZ
1-1
Heerenveen
Mous (75' og.)
Jan 14, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 16
Heerenveen
0-2
AZ
De Wit (33'), Reijnders (46')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax25203253183563
2PSV EindhovenPSV25174475304555
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2514744638849
4FC Twente25137550311946
5Feyenoord24128448272144
6AZ AlkmaarAZ24134740241643
7Go Ahead Eagles2512584640641
8Fortuna SittardSittard2595113242-1032
9Heerenveen2586113145-1430
10Groningen2477102333-1028
11NAC BredaNAC Breda2584132743-1628
12Heracles2569103246-1427
13NECNijmegen2575133637-126
14PEC Zwolle2567122940-1125
15Sparta RotterdamSparta2559112434-1024
16Willem II2566132841-1324
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2445153249-1717
18Almere CityAlmere City2535171549-3414


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