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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 70.97%. A draw has a probability of 16.5% and a win for AZ Alkmaar has a probability of 12.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win is 2-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.38%) and 3-0 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.43%), while for an AZ Alkmaar win it is 1-2 (3.63%).
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
70.97% ( 0.14) | 16.49% ( -0.07) | 12.53% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 57.39% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.98% ( 0.12) | 32.01% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.42% ( 0.14) | 53.57% ( -0.15) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92% ( 0.06) | 7.99% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.8% ( 0.15) | 28.19% ( -0.16) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.37% ( -0.03) | 37.62% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.6% ( -0.03) | 74.4% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
2-0 @ 9.6% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 4.99% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.86% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.52% Total : 70.97% | 1-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.21% Total : 16.5% | 1-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.84% Total : 12.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |