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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 66.47%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 16.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.79%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.14%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 2-1 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-8 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
16.21% (![]() | 17.32% (![]() | 66.47% (![]() |
Both teams to score 64.81% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.63% (![]() | 27.36% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.05% (![]() | 47.95% (![]() |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.25% (![]() | 29.75% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.18% (![]() | 65.81% (![]() |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.26% (![]() | 7.74% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.45% (![]() | 27.55% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 4.33% (![]() 1-0 @ 2.79% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.24% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.75% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 1.69% ( ![]() Other @ 3.41% Total : 16.21% | 1-1 @ 7.14% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.54% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.3% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.91% ( ![]() Other @ 0.42% Total : 17.32% | 1-2 @ 9.14% (![]() 1-3 @ 7.79% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.54% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 6.43% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 5.89% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 4.99% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 4.73% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 4.11% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 3.02% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 2.55% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 2.1% ( ![]() 2-5 @ 1.55% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 1.22% ( ![]() 1-6 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 4.32% Total : 66.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 25 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 53 | 18 | 35 | 63 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 75 | 30 | 45 | 55 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 49 |
4 | FC Twente | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 46 |
5 | Feyenoord | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 44 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 24 | 16 | 43 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 41 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 32 |
9 | Heerenveen | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 30 |
10 | Groningen | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 28 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 28 |
12 | Heracles | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 27 |
13 | NECNijmegen | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 26 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 25 |
15 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 |
16 | Willem II | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 24 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 17 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 49 | -34 | 14 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |