MX23RW : Friday, January 17 22:42:04| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
PSV
Eredivisie | Gameweek 29
Apr 6, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Philips Stadion
AZ Alkmaar

PSV
5 - 1
AZ

Bakayoko (9'), de Jong (23', 53'), Veerman (80'), Uneken (90+1')
Teze (25'), Boscagli (45')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Pavlidis (58')
Belic (13'), Mijnans (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 0-2 PSV
Tuesday, April 2 at 7pm in Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Last Game: Heracles 5-0 AZ
Wednesday, April 3 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: PSV Eindhoven 3-1 AZ Alkmaar

 PSV will be full of confidence coming into this game having had such an excellent season, while AZ are sure to be in short supply having suffered a humiliating 5-0 defeat in their last outing, leading us to believe the league leaders will win this one. The two top scorers in the division are set to come face to face in this one, and we expect both to get on the scoresheet here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 53.61%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 23.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawAZ Alkmaar
53.61% (0.53599999999999 0.54) 22.43% (-0.192 -0.19) 23.96% (-0.342 -0.34)
Both teams to score 59.17% (0.27 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.53% (0.538 0.54)40.47% (-0.537 -0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.15% (0.55200000000001 0.55)62.85% (-0.552 -0.55)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.88% (0.369 0.37)15.12% (-0.368 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.32% (0.693 0.69)43.68% (-0.693 -0.69)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.71% (0.015999999999991 0.02)30.29% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.53% (0.017000000000003 0.02)66.47% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 53.61%
    AZ Alkmaar 23.96%
    Draw 22.43%
PSV EindhovenDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.65% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-0 @ 8.17% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.15% (0.088 0.09)
3-0 @ 5.15% (0.071 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.67% (0.054 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.9% (0.078 0.08)
4-0 @ 2.43% (0.065 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.73% (0.047 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.1% (0.043 0.04)
5-0 @ 0.92% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 53.61%
1-1 @ 10.33% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.83% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.58% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.43%
1-2 @ 6.17% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
0-1 @ 5.47% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-2 @ 3.27% (-0.079 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.46% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.3% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 23.96%

How you voted: PSV vs AZ

PSV Eindhoven
94.4%
Draw
2.8%
AZ Alkmaar
2.8%
36
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 16
AZ
0-4
PSV

van Bommel (45+1'), Goudmijn (77')
De Jong (9' pen., 57'), Saibari (11'), Dest (16')
> Preview
May 28, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 34
AZ
1-2
PSV
Karlsson (84' pen.)
Karlsson (35'), Clasie (57')
Simons (65', 90+8')
El Ghazi (35'), Benitez (79'), Veerman (90+3'), Simons (90+8')
El Ghazi (90+2')
> Preview
Nov 12, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 14
PSV
0-1
AZ
Pavlidis (18')
> Preview
Feb 5, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 19
PSV
1-2
AZ
Obispo (19')
Sangare (72'), Teze (74'), Gotze (90+1')
Martins Indi (40'), Karlsson (75')
Midtsjo (70'), Wijndal (72'), Hatzidiakos (72'), Sugawara (90')
> Preview
Sep 11, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 4
AZ
0-3
PSV

Hatzidiakos (46'), Midtsjo (63')
Boscagli (14'), Vertessen (69'), Doan (83')
van Ginkel (20'), Obispo (78')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV18151261154646
2Ajax18133239172242
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1812333629739
4Feyenoord18105341231835
5FC Twente18104438231534
6AZ AlkmaarAZ18103533191433
7Go Ahead Eagles188463327628
8Fortuna SittardSittard187472528-325
9Heerenveen187382133-1224
10Willem II186482325-222
11NAC BredaNAC Breda1871102131-1022
12NECNijmegen1862102424020
13PEC Zwolle184591627-1117
14Groningen174581426-1217
15Heracles173681934-1515
16Sparta RotterdamSparta182791527-1213
17Almere CityAlmere City1824121037-2710
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1814131943-247
> Eredivisie Full Table


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