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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 36.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.33%) and 2-0 (5.3%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
39.97% ( -0.69) | 23.1% ( 0.08) | 36.92% ( 0.61) |
Both teams to score 64.87% ( -0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.56% ( -0.36) | 36.43% ( 0.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.43% ( -0.39) | 58.57% ( 0.39) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.25% ( -0.45) | 18.75% ( 0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.86% ( -0.76) | 50.14% ( 0.76) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.84% ( 0.13) | 20.16% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.56% ( 0.21) | 52.44% ( -0.22) |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.59% Total : 39.97% | 1-1 @ 10.13% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.38% Total : 23.1% | 1-2 @ 8.12% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 6.05% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 4.33% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3.63% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.13% Total : 36.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 15 | 46 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 42 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 39 |
4 | Feyenoord | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Heerenveen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
10 | Willem II | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 22 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 17 |
15 | Heracles | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |