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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 45.35%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-0 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result | ||
VVV-Venlo | Draw | FC Twente |
29.6% | 25.05% | 45.35% |
Both teams to score 55.27% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.12% | 47.88% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.94% | 70.06% |
VVV-Venlo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.09% | 29.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.99% | 66.01% |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.86% | 21.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46% | 53.99% |
Score Analysis |
VVV-Venlo | Draw | FC Twente |
1-0 @ 7.63% 2-1 @ 7.16% 2-0 @ 4.61% 3-1 @ 2.88% 3-2 @ 2.24% 3-0 @ 1.85% Other @ 3.23% Total : 29.6% | 1-1 @ 11.86% 0-0 @ 6.32% 2-2 @ 5.56% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.05% | 0-1 @ 9.83% 1-2 @ 9.22% 0-2 @ 7.63% 1-3 @ 4.77% 0-3 @ 3.95% 2-3 @ 2.88% 1-4 @ 1.85% 0-4 @ 1.54% 2-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.56% Total : 45.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |