Europa Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 15, 2024 at 6pm UK
Tele2 Arena
Djurgarden3 - 1Ilves
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Djurgardens IF and Ilves.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ilves 1-1 Djurgarden
Thursday, August 8 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, August 8 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Goals
for
for
32
Last Game: Ilves 2-0 Mariehamn
Sunday, August 11 at 1pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Sunday, August 11 at 1pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Goals
for
for
39
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 58.1%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Ilves had a probability of 19.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Ilves win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Djurgardens IF would win this match.
Result | ||
Djurgardens IF | Draw | Ilves |
58.1% ( -0.11) | 21.96% ( 0.04) | 19.94% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 54.99% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.67% ( -0.09) | 43.33% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.27% ( -0.09) | 65.72% ( 0.09) |
Djurgardens IF Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.37% ( -0.06) | 14.63% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.25% ( -0.12) | 42.75% ( 0.12) |
Ilves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.41% ( 0.02) | 35.59% ( -0.02) |