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Serie A | Gameweek 4
Sep 16, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini
Udinese logo

Parma
2 - 3
Udinese

Del Prato (2'), Bonny (43')
Keita (62')
Keita (73')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Lucca (49'), Thauvin (68', 77')
Gianetti (38'), Ehizibue (84'), Davis (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Parma and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Napoli 2-1 Parma
Saturday, August 31 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 1-0 Como
Sunday, September 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Parma 2-1 Udinese

Only Torino have faced more shots than either Parma or Udinese in Serie A this season, so it may be a pleasing spectacle for the neutral at Stadio Tardini. The Gialloblu were very unfortunate to lose last time out, and they can join their visitors on seven points by edging to victory on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Udinese win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
ParmaDrawUdinese
40.22% (4.911 4.91) 27.29% (1.428 1.43) 32.49% (-6.336 -6.34)
Both teams to score 49.45% (-5.15 -5.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.03% (-6.302 -6.3)55.97% (6.307 6.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.94% (-5.382 -5.38)77.07% (5.387 5.39)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.74% (-0.164 -0.16)27.26% (0.169 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.31% (-0.218 -0.22)62.7% (0.222 0.22)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.98% (-6.907 -6.91)32.02% (6.911 6.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.52% (-8.673 -8.67)68.49% (8.677 8.68)
Score Analysis
    Parma 40.22%
    Udinese 32.49%
    Draw 27.29%
ParmaDrawUdinese
1-0 @ 11.34% (2.456 2.46)
2-1 @ 8.4% (0.38 0.38)
2-0 @ 7.37% (1.571 1.57)
3-1 @ 3.64% (0.148 0.15)
3-0 @ 3.19% (0.669 0.67)
3-2 @ 2.07% (-0.34 -0.34)
4-1 @ 1.18% (0.043 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.214 0.21)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 40.22%
1-1 @ 12.92% (0.65 0.65)
0-0 @ 8.73% (1.926 1.93)
2-2 @ 4.78% (-0.759 -0.76)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.29%
0-1 @ 9.94% (0.54 0.54)
1-2 @ 7.36% (-1.126 -1.13)
0-2 @ 5.66% (-0.835 -0.84)
1-3 @ 2.79% (-1.114 -1.11)
0-3 @ 2.15% (-0.843 -0.84)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.736 -0.74)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 32.49%

How you voted: Parma vs Udinese

Parma
54.8%
Draw
22.0%
Udinese
23.2%
168
Head to Head
Feb 21, 2021 11.30am
Gameweek 23
Parma
2-2
Udinese
Cornelius (3'), Kucka (32' pen.)
Brugman (10'), Cornelius (19'), Bani (29'), Mihaila (37'), Hernani (59'), Conti (78'), Man (83')
Okaka (64'), Nuytinck (80')
Zeegelaar (25'), Musso (37'), De Paul (81'), Pereyra (90+4')
Oct 18, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 4
Udinese
3-2
Parma
Samir (28'), Iacoponi (52' og.), Pussetto (88')
Becao (32'), Arslan (44'), Makengo (90+1')
Hernani (26'), Karamoh (70')
Brugman (57'), Iacoponi (73')
Jan 26, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 21
Parma
2-0
Udinese
Gagliolo (19'), Kulusevski (34')
Hernani (59'), Laurini (68')

Troost-Ekong (30'), Mandragora (45'), Becao (49')
Sep 1, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Udinese
1-3
Parma
Lasagna (17')
Teodorczyk (93')
Gervinho (43'), Gagliolo (59'), Inglese (75')
Grassi (6'), Barilla (81'), Hernani (86')
Jan 19, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 20
Udinese
1-2
Parma
Okaka (50')
Opoku (34'), Okaka (39'), D'Alessandro (68')
Inglese (11' pen.), Gervinho (68')
Deiola (55')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli7511145916
2Inter Milan7421169714
3Udinese74121010013
4Juventus633090912
5AC Milan6321147711
6Torino73221211111
7Atalanta BCAtalanta73131613310
8Empoli624052310
9Lazio63121210210
10Roma62317439
11Hellas VeronaHellas Verona7304121209
12Como72231014-48
13Fiorentina61417707
14Bologna614179-27
15Lecce7124312-95
16CagliariCagliari6123410-65
17Genoa7124515-105
18Parma61231012-25
19VeneziaVenezia7115512-74
20Monza603348-43


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