Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 20.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Seattle Sounders would win this match.