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Europa League
Hoffenheim logo
Europa League | League Stage
Nov 7, 2024 at 8pm UK
DnB NOR Arena
Lyon

Hoffenheim
2 - 2
Lyon

Gendrey (47'), Tohumcu (90+6')
Stach (6'), Chaves (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Vinicius (66'), Lacazette (90+4')
Mata (10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Hoffenheim and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Hoffenheim 0-2 St Pauli
Saturday, November 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Lyon

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Lille 1-1 Lyon
Friday, November 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Hoffenheim 1-2 Lyon

 While both sides have had periods of inconsistency this season, Hoffenheim have faced much more difficulty than Lyon in both the Europa League and their respective domestic league, leading us to believe the hosts are the stronger side and will win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 41.97%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.18%) and 0-1 (4.83%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
HoffenheimDrawLyon
36.39% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02) 21.63% (0.0040000000000013 0) 41.97% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 70.61% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.03% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)28.96% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.06% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)49.93% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.93% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)17.06% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.76% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)47.24% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)14.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.82% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)43.17% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 36.39%
    Lyon 41.97%
    Draw 21.64%
HoffenheimDrawLyon
2-1 @ 7.56%
1-0 @ 4.48% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 4.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 4.25% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 3.96%
3-0 @ 2.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.88% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-3 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 36.39%
1-1 @ 8.55% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 7.2% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 2.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 2.53% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 21.64%
1-2 @ 8.15% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 5.18% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 4.83% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.61% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 4.58% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 2.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-4 @ 2.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.4% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-4 @ 1.29% (-0.002 -0)
1-5 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 41.97%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Lyon

Hoffenheim
22.3%
Draw
18.5%
Lyon
59.2%
157
Head to Head
Nov 7, 2018 8pm
Group Stage
Lyon
2-2
Hoffenheim
Fekir (19'), Ndombele (28')
Denayer (6'), Morel (90')
Kramaric (65'), Kaderabek (90')
Nuhu (19'), Grillitsch (43'), Bicakcic (48'), Vogt (72'), Joelinton (72')
Nuhu (51')
Oct 23, 2018 8pm
Group Stage
Hoffenheim
3-3
Lyon
Kramaric (33', 47'), Joelinton (90')
Demirbay (90')
Traore (27'), Ndombele (59'), Depay (67')
Tete (86')
rhs 2.0
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