Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 15, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stade de Geneve
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 43.56% . A win for Servette had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.4% .
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.78%) . The likeliest Servette win was 2-1 (7.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%) . The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Braga in this match.
Result Servette Draw Braga 32.05% ( -0.24) 24.38% ( -0.53) 43.56% ( 0.76)
Both teams to score 58.79% ( 1.73)
56.17% ( 2.31) 43.82% ( -2.32)
33.78% ( 2.22) 66.21% ( -2.23)
73.73% ( 0.97) 26.27% ( -0.98)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 38.61% ( 1.29) 61.38% ( -1.29)
79.74% ( 1.31) 20.26% ( -1.32)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 47.39% ( 2.06) 52.6% ( -2.06)
Servette 32.05%
Braga 43.56%
Draw 24.38%
Servette Draw Braga 2-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.53) 2-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.35% Total : 32.05% 1-1 @ 11.35% ( -0.37) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.56) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.38% 1-2 @ 9.07% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.52) 0-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 4.83% ( 0.23) 0-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.24) 1-4 @ 1.93% ( 0.16) 0-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.9% Total : 43.56%
How you voted: Servette vs Braga
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rhs 2.0
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