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Aldershot Town
FA Cup | Fourth Round Qualifying
Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK
The EBB Stadium.

Aldershot
2 - 1
Bath City

Akpan (24'), Mullins (90+8')
Maghoma (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Fisher (76')
Coverage of the FA Cup Fourth Round Qualifying clash between Aldershot Town and Bath City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fylde 5-2 Aldershot
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Chesham 0-1 Bath City
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 58.77%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Bath City had a probability of 20.25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 1-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Bath City win it was 1-2 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aldershot Town in this match.

Result
Aldershot TownDrawBath City
58.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 20.98%20.25% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 58.96% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.66% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)38.34%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.38% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)60.62%
Aldershot Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)12.8% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.9% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)39.1% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Bath City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.61% (0.0020000000000095 0)32.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.09% (0.0010000000000012 0)68.91% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Score Analysis
    Aldershot Town 58.77%
    Bath City 20.25%
    Draw 20.98%
Aldershot TownDrawBath City
2-1 @ 9.88%
2-0 @ 8.76% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 8.52%
3-1 @ 6.77%
3-0 @ 6.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.82%
4-1 @ 3.48%
4-0 @ 3.09%
4-2 @ 1.96%
5-1 @ 1.43%
5-0 @ 1.27% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 58.77%
1-1 @ 9.61%
2-2 @ 5.57%
0-0 @ 4.15%
3-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 20.98%
1-2 @ 5.41% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 4.67% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 2.63%
2-3 @ 2.09%
1-3 @ 2.03%
0-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 20.25%

How you voted: Aldershot vs Bath City

Aldershot Town
75.0%
Draw
12.5%
Bath City
12.5%
8
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
5Chelsea105322012818
6Arsenal105321711618
7Fulham115331613318
8Aston Villa105321715218
9Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
10Brentford115152222016
11Bournemouth114341515015
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton112451017-710
17Crystal Palace11146815-77
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
19Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
20Southampton11119721-144


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