MX23RW : Saturday, January 18 07:51:00| >> :120:20799:20799:
FA Cup | Third Round Qualifying
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Raymond McEnhill Stadium

Salisbury
1 - 2
Bath City

Hedges (18')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Tillson (68'), Fisher (90+3')
Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round Qualifying clash between Salisbury and Bath City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salisbury 3-2 Chippenham
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 0-1 Enfield Town
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Salisbury had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Salisbury win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bath City in this match.

Result
SalisburyDrawBath City
35.55% (0.010000000000005 0.01) 24.91% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 39.53% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 57.95% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.65% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)45.35% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.31% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)67.69% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Salisbury Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.08% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)24.92% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.45% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)59.55% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Bath City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.19% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)22.81% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.48% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)56.52% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Salisbury 35.55%
    Bath City 39.53%
    Draw 24.91%
SalisburyDrawBath City
2-1 @ 8.11% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.9% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.49% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 3.76%
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.31%
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 35.55%
1-1 @ 11.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 5.68% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.91%
1-2 @ 8.63% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-1 @ 8.4% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 6.21%
1-3 @ 4.25% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-3 @ 3.06% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.57% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 39.53%

rhs 2.0
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