Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for York City had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Aldershot Town | Draw | York City |
43.74% ( 0.12) | 24.82% ( -0.06) | 31.44% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 57.01% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.96% ( 0.24) | 46.05% ( -0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.65% ( 0.23) | 68.35% ( -0.22) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.9% ( 0.16) | 21.1% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.07% ( 0.24) | 53.93% ( -0.24) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.26% ( 0.08) | 27.75% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.69% ( 0.1) | 63.32% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Aldershot Town | Draw | York City |
1-0 @ 9.11% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.09% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.71% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.62% Total : 43.74% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.82% | 0-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.49% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.2% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.86% Total : 31.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 52 |
2 | York City | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 51 |
3 | Barnet | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 51 |
4 | Gateshead | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 48 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
7 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 39 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 38 |
10 | Eastleigh | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 38 |
11 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 35 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
16 | Tamworth | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 30 |
17 | Woking | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 29 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 26 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 24 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 24 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 31 | 53 | -22 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 20 | 63 | -43 | 11 |
> National League Full Table |