Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Baffins Milton Rovers win with a probability of 66.1%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Shepton Mallet had a probability of 16.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Baffins Milton Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.33%) and 3-1 (7.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.74%), while for a Shepton Mallet win it was 1-2 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Baffins Milton Rovers in this match.