Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basildon United win with a probability of 46.85%. A win for Kings Langley had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basildon United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.76%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Kings Langley win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basildon United would win this match.