FA Cup | Fourth Round
Feb 8, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Birmingham2 - 3Newcastle
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Stevenage 0-1 Birmingham
Tuesday, February 4 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Tuesday, February 4 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Goals
for
for
46
Last Game: Newcastle 2-0 Arsenal
Wednesday, February 5 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Wednesday, February 5 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Goals
for
for
42
We said: Birmingham City 1-3 Newcastle United
Birmingham will be in good spirits due to their 18-game unbeaten run, but Newcastle are undoubtedly their toughest opposition of the season thus far, and we expect the Magpies to confidently win here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 49.28%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 26.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 0-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Newcastle United |
49.28% ( 0.27) | 24.22% ( -0.08) | 26.49% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 55.7% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
