FA Cup | Third Round Qualifying
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Alwyns Lane Football Ground
Chertsey Town3 - 2Ashford United
Montague (7', 18'), Mohammad Fahid Al Haj Ibrahim (50')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Lockyer (58' pen.), Mohammad Fahid Al Haj Ibrahim (90+8')
Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round Qualifying clash between Chertsey Town and Ashford United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chertsey Town win with a probability of 65.41%. A win for Ashford United had a probability of 17.61% and a draw had a probability of 17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chertsey Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.66%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Ashford United win was 1-2 (4.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chertsey Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chertsey Town | Draw | Ashford United |
65.41% ( 0.02) | 16.97% ( -0.01) | 17.61% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 69.67% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
