Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falmouth Town win with a probability of 58.92%. A win for Torpoint Athletic had a probability of 21.86% and a draw had a probability of 19.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falmouth Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.15%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Torpoint Athletic win was 1-2 (5.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falmouth Town would win this match.
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