Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melton Town win with a probability of 63.8%. A win for Goole had a probability of 18.74% and a draw had a probability of 17.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melton Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.54%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Goole win was 2-1 (4.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melton Town would win this match.
