Newport Pagnell

3 - 3

Ilford

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport Pagnell Town win with a probability of 61.78%. A win for Ilford had a probability of 19.97% and a draw had a probability of 18.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport Pagnell Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.41%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Ilford win was 1-2 (4.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.