MX23RW : Saturday, September 7 22:46:26| >> :600:7371553:7371553:
FA Cup | Extra Preliminary Round
Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Help For Heroes Stadium

Northwich Victoria
3 - 2
Squires Gate

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between Northwich Victoria and Squires Gate.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Northampton 3-2 Northwich Victoria
Saturday, December 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Last Game: Squires Gate 0-7 Blackpool
Friday, July 9 at 7.30pm in Pre-Season Friendlies
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northwich Victoria win with a probability of 62.87%. A win for Squires Gate had a probability of 19.63% and a draw had a probability of 17.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northwich Victoria win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.42%) and 2-0 (5.7%). The likeliest Squires Gate win was 1-2 (4.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northwich Victoria would win this match.

Result
Northwich VictoriaDrawSquires Gate
62.87% (-0.401 -0.4) 17.5% (0.167 0.17) 19.63% (0.239 0.24)
Both teams to score 71.58% (-0.254 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
77.97% (-0.453 -0.45)22.02% (0.459 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
59.07% (-0.628 -0.63)40.93% (0.634 0.63)
Northwich Victoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.98% (-0.19499999999999 -0.19)7.02% (0.201 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.34% (-0.527 -0.53)25.65% (0.532 0.53)
Squires Gate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.98% (-0.107 -0.11)23.02% (0.114 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.17% (-0.158 -0.16)56.83% (0.164 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Northwich Victoria 62.87%
    Squires Gate 19.63%
    Draw 17.5%
Northwich VictoriaDrawSquires Gate
2-1 @ 8.37% (0.072999999999999 0.07)
3-1 @ 7.42% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.7% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
3-2 @ 5.45% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.05% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.93% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-0 @ 4.29% (0.097 0.1)
4-2 @ 3.62% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-0 @ 3.35% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-1 @ 2.62% (-0.062 -0.06)
5-2 @ 1.92% (-0.052 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.78% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-3 @ 1.77% (-0.035 -0.04)
6-1 @ 1.16% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-3 @ 0.94% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 4.5%
Total : 62.87%
1-1 @ 6.3% (0.122 0.12)
2-2 @ 6.15% (0.033 0.03)
3-3 @ 2.67% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-0 @ 1.62% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 17.5%
1-2 @ 4.63% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.01% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-1 @ 2.37% (0.071 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.27% (0.029 0.03)
0-2 @ 1.74% (0.047 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-4 @ 0.98% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 19.63%

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