Telstar

4 - 1

Umm Salal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 50.8%. A win for Umm Salal had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Umm Salal win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Telstar would win this match.