MX23RW : Monday, November 4 20:50:44| >> :300:86500:86500:
J1 League | Gameweek 35
Nov 3, 2024 at 5am UK
Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)

Sagan Tosu
2 - 1
Machida Zelvia

Suzuki (20'), Terayama (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dresevic (66')
Fujio (73')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Machida Zelvia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 2-0 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, October 19 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 1-1 Machida Zelvia
Saturday, October 19 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawMachida Zelvia
28.23% (0.426 0.43) 26.15% (0.439 0.44) 45.62% (-0.868 -0.87)
Both teams to score 50.95% (-1.053 -1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.88% (-1.506 -1.51)53.12% (1.503 1.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.3% (-1.294 -1.29)74.69% (1.291 1.29)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.36% (-0.467 -0.47)33.63% (0.463 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.71% (-0.509 -0.51)70.28% (0.506 0.51)
Machida Zelvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.77% (-1.042 -1.04)23.22% (1.038 1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.86% (-1.542 -1.54)57.13% (1.538 1.54)
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 28.23%
    Machida Zelvia 45.62%
    Draw 26.14%
Sagan TosuDrawMachida Zelvia
1-0 @ 8.51% (0.391 0.39)
2-1 @ 6.77% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.64% (0.156 0.16)
3-1 @ 2.46% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.68% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 28.23%
1-1 @ 12.42% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 7.81% (0.452 0.45)
2-2 @ 4.94% (-0.137 -0.14)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.14%
0-1 @ 11.4% (0.32 0.32)
1-2 @ 9.07% (-0.135 -0.14)
0-2 @ 8.33% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.41% (-0.207 -0.21)
0-3 @ 4.05% (-0.136 -0.14)
2-3 @ 2.41% (-0.144 -0.14)
1-4 @ 1.61% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-4 @ 1.48% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 45.62%

Head to Head
Mar 30, 2024 6am
Gameweek 5
Machida Zelvia
3-1
Sagan Tosu
Fujimoto (5'), Oh (54', 57')
Suzuki (45')
Ryan (34')
Harada (10'), Naganuma (51'), Yamazaki (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe35207856342267
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima351811666363065
3Machida Zelvia35179949311860
4Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers34169955401557
5Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka351512841311057
6Tokyo Verdy35141294645154
7FC Tokyo35149124946351
8Cerezo OsakaCerezo351213104243-149
9Avispa Fukuoka351114103134-347
10Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus35144174244-246
11Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki341111125650644
12Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare35128155051-144
13Kyoto Sanga34128144253-1144
14Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa341110134543243
15Yokohama F MarinosYokohama34127155254-243
16Albirex Niigata351010154357-1440
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol35912143748-1139
18Jubilo Iwata3498173956-1735
19Consadole SapporoConsadole3589184060-2033
20Sagan Tosu3585224166-2529


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