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J1 League | Gameweek 11
May 3, 2023 at 7am UK
Shonan BMW Stadium Hiratsuka

Shonan Bellmare
1 - 2
Reysol

Sugioka (45+5')
Suzuki (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Savio (28'), Hosoya (55')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Shonan Bellmare and Kashiwa Reysol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vissel Kobe 2-0 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, April 29 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 1-1 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, April 29 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shonan Bellmare win with a probability of 45.53%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Shonan BellmareDrawKashiwa Reysol
45.53% (1.274 1.27) 26.46% (0.074999999999999 0.07) 28.01% (-1.353 -1.35)
Both teams to score 49.87% (-1.041 -1.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.56% (-0.956 -0.96)54.44% (0.954 0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.19% (-0.803 -0.8)75.81% (0.80200000000001 0.8)
Shonan Bellmare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.16% (0.19500000000001 0.2)23.84% (-0.196 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.97% (0.28 0.28)58.03% (-0.282 -0.28)
Kashiwa Reysol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.49% (-1.539 -1.54)34.51% (1.536 1.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.77% (-1.673 -1.67)71.23% (1.672 1.67)
Score Analysis
    Shonan Bellmare 45.53%
    Kashiwa Reysol 28.01%
    Draw 26.46%
Shonan BellmareDrawKashiwa Reysol
1-0 @ 11.79% (0.5 0.5)
2-1 @ 9% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 8.46% (0.403 0.4)
3-1 @ 4.3% (0.055 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.04% (0.215 0.22)
3-2 @ 2.29% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.45% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 45.53%
1-1 @ 12.55% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.23% (0.301 0.3)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.171 -0.17)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.46%
0-1 @ 8.75% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.68% (-0.278 -0.28)
0-2 @ 4.66% (-0.222 -0.22)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.204 -0.2)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-3 @ 1.65% (-0.152 -0.15)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 28.01%

Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 5am
gameweek 34
Reysol
1-2
Shonan Bellmare
Koyamatsu (54')
Machino (41'), Segawa (46')
Barada (12')
Feb 19, 2022 6am
gameweek 1
Shonan Bellmare
0-2
Reysol

Oiwa (11'), Segawa (90')
Oiwa (34')
Savio (68' pen.), Koyamatsu (75')
Moreira (87')
Jun 27, 2021 11am
gameweek 20
Shonan Bellmare
2-4
Reysol
Machino (18'), Wellington (78')
Riuler (48')
Raul (50' pen., 90+12'), Ominami (90+3'), Da Silva (90+9')
Richardson (75'), Raul (82')
Mar 6, 2021 7am
gameweek 2
Reysol
2-1
Shonan Bellmare
Goya (14', 66')
Okamoto (43')
Oct 18, 2020 7am
gameweek 29
Shonan Bellmare
3-2
Reysol
Okamoto (4'), Matsuda (78'), Ishihara (81')
Tachi (39'), Matsuda (90')
Olunga (22'), Kamiya (54')
da Silva (15'), Mihara (33'), Yamashita (51'), Olunga (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe38219861362572
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima381911872432968
3Machida Zelvia381991054342066
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka381812849351466
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers381811960411965
6Tokyo Verdy381414105151056
7FC Tokyo38159145351254
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki381313126657952
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama38157166162-152
10Cerezo OsakaCerezo381313124348-552
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus38155184447-350
12Avispa Fukuoka381214123338-550
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa381212144945448
14Kyoto Sanga381211154355-1247
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare38129175358-545
16Albirex Niigata381012164459-1542
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol38914153951-1241
18Jubilo Iwata38108204768-2138
19Consadole SapporoConsadole38910194366-2337
20Sagan Tosu38105234868-2035


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