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La Liga | Gameweek 27
Mar 3, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Real Betis logo

Atletico
2 - 1
Betis

Silva (8' og.), Morata (44')
De Paul (18')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Carvalho (62')
Pezzella (67'), Rodriguez (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Real Betis, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 3-0 Atletico
Thursday, February 29 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Atletico Madrid 2-1 Real Betis

Atletico's recent form is worrying, and their top-four position in the table is under threat from Athletic, demonstrating the importance of picking up a positive result here. Real Betis are capable of making it a tough afternoon for Atletico, but the visitors will be missing so many important players through injury, and we are therefore backing the hosts to edge out a much-needed three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 55.15%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Real Betis had a probability of 21.43%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Real Betis win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawReal Betis
55.15% (1.208 1.21) 23.42% (-0.331 -0.33) 21.43% (-0.878 -0.88)
Both teams to score 52.54% (-0.149 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.3% (0.38800000000001 0.39)47.69% (-0.389 -0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.11% (0.356 0.36)69.89% (-0.358 -0.36)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.85% (0.583 0.58)17.15% (-0.584 -0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.61% (1.02 1.02)47.39% (-1.02 -1.02)
Real Betis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.42% (-0.631 -0.63)36.58% (0.63 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.63% (-0.642 -0.64)73.37% (0.64100000000001 0.64)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 55.15%
    Real Betis 21.43%
    Draw 23.41%
Atletico MadridDrawReal Betis
1-0 @ 11.06% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 9.75% (0.214 0.21)
3-1 @ 5.76% (0.138 0.14)
3-0 @ 5.73% (0.232 0.23)
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.54% (0.108 0.11)
4-0 @ 2.53% (0.148 0.15)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 55.15%
1-1 @ 11.12% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 6.27% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.41%
0-1 @ 6.31% (-0.213 -0.21)
1-2 @ 5.59% (-0.177 -0.18)
0-2 @ 3.17% (-0.163 -0.16)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.06% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 21.43%

How you voted: Atletico vs Betis

Atletico Madrid
84.1%
Draw
12.2%
Real Betis
3.7%
82
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 2
Betis
0-0
Atletico
Ruibal (37'), Isco (51')
Savic (43'), Simeone (54+54')
Apr 2, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 27
Atletico
1-0
Betis
Correa (86')
Oct 23, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 11
Betis
1-2
Atletico
Fekir (84')
Griezmann (54', 71')
Mar 6, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 27
Betis
1-3
Atletico
Tello (45+5')
Iglesias (23'), Akouokou (40'), Bartra (50'), Tello (71'), Ruibal (87')
Felix (2', 61'), Lemar (80')
Simeone (27'), Herrera (34'), Carrasco (63'), Llorente (87')
Oct 31, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 12
Atletico
3-0
Betis
Carrasco (26'), Pezzella (63' og.), Felix (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid37297187266194
2Barcelona37257577433482
3GironaGirona37246778463278
4Atletico MadridAtletico372341068432573
5Athletic Bilbao371811860372365
6Real Sociedad371612951371460
7Real BetisBetis37141494845356
8Villarreal371410136464052
9Valencia37139153843-548
10AlavesAlaves37129163545-1045
11Osasuna37128174455-1144
12Getafe371013144152-1143
13Sevilla371011164752-541
14Celta Vigo371010174455-1140
15Las PalmasLas Palmas37109183246-1439
16Rayo Vallecano37814152947-1838
17Mallorca37716143143-1237
18CadizCadiz37615162549-2433
RGranada3749243872-3421
RAlmeria37212233774-3718


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