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La Liga | Gameweek 38
May 21, 2022 at 4.30pm UK
Mestalla
Celta Vigo logo

Valencia
2 - 0
Celta Vigo

Gomez (28'), Araujo (60' og.)
Foulquier (64'), Correia (64'), Moriba (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Galan (45+1'), Mendez (52'), Galhardo (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Valencia 2-0 Celta Vigo
Saturday, May 21 at 4.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 2-0 Celta Vigo
Saturday, May 21 at 4.30pm in La Liga

We said: Valencia 1-1 Celta Vigo

Both sides will be determined to finish their campaign on a positive note, but we are struggling to back either with any real confidence at the moment. Valencia have drawn eight times on home soil this term, and we are predicting another stalemate in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
ValenciaDrawCelta Vigo
35.9% (0.071999999999996 0.07) 26.37% (0.023999999999997 0.02) 37.72% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Both teams to score 52.95% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.2% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)51.8% (0.098999999999997 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.44% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)73.56% (0.084999999999994 0.08)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)27.76% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.66% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)63.34% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.29% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)26.7% (0.101 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.04% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)61.96% (0.134 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 35.9%
    Celta Vigo 37.72%
    Draw 26.37%
ValenciaDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 9.5% (0.036 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.04% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.09% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.6% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 35.9%
1-1 @ 12.54% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.41% (0.029 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.37%
0-1 @ 9.79% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.28% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.46% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.65% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.84% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.34% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.2% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.94% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 37.72%

How you voted: Valencia vs Celta Vigo

Valencia
45.7%
Draw
39.7%
Celta Vigo
14.7%
116
Head to Head
Dec 5, 2021 8pm
Celta Vigo
1-2
Valencia
Aspas (11')
Beltran (9'), Aspas (12'), Nolito (90+6')
Duro (19'), Gomez (53')
Gomez (36'), Gaya (51')
Feb 20, 2021 5.30pm
Valencia
2-0
Celta Vigo
Vallejo (90+4'), Gameiro (90+8')
Kang-in (56'), Gaya (62')

Nolito (14'), Mina (31'), Tapia (53')
Blanco (64')
Sep 19, 2020 8pm
Celta Vigo
2-1
Valencia
Aspas (13', 57')
Tapia (25'), Yokuslu (90+2'), Villar (90+7')
Gomez (46')
Esquerdo (55')
Feb 1, 2020 8pm
Valencia
1-0
Celta Vigo
Soler (77')
Paulista (20'), Wass (33'), Florenzi (50'), Gomez (80'), Coquelin (90'), Domenech (90')

Vazquez (40'), Rafinha (65'), Sisto (89')
Aug 24, 2019 8pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Osasuna186752327-425
10Celta Vigo187382728-124
11Real BetisBetis176652021-124
12Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
13Sevilla186482027-722
14Rayo Vallecano175661920-121
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512


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