Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 0-1 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Valencia | Draw | Espanyol |
42.29% | 27.41% | 30.3% |
Both teams to score 48.32% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.97% | 57.03% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.08% | 77.92% |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.36% | 26.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.12% | 61.88% |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.87% | 34.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.18% | 70.82% |
Score Analysis |
Valencia | Draw | Espanyol |
1-0 @ 12.02% 2-1 @ 8.55% 2-0 @ 7.95% 3-1 @ 3.77% 3-0 @ 3.51% 3-2 @ 2.03% 4-1 @ 1.25% 4-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.05% Total : 42.28% | 1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 9.09% 2-2 @ 4.6% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.4% | 0-1 @ 9.77% 1-2 @ 6.95% 0-2 @ 5.25% 1-3 @ 2.49% 0-3 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.3% Total : 30.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
6 | Villarreal | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 27 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |