MX23RW : Friday, January 31 02:07:42| >> :300:86500:86500:
Derry City
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 12
Apr 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Brandywell Stadium
St Patrick's Athletic

Derry
2 - 0
St Patrick's

Doherty (71' pen.), Whelan (79')
Doherty (61'), O'Neill (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sjoberg (56'), Lewis (70')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Derry City and St Patrick's Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derry City

All competitions
Last Game: Cork City 1-3 Derry
Friday, April 21 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

St Patrick's Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: St Patrick's 0-2 Shamrock
Friday, April 21 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 58.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 18.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a St Patrick's Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.

Result
Derry CityDrawSt Patrick's Athletic
58.11% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 23.11% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 18.78% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.38% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.17% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)49.82% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.18% (-0.02 -0.02)71.82% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.13% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)16.87% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.11% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)46.88% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
St Patrick's Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.4% (0.0020000000000024 0)40.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.8% (0.0010000000000012 0)77.2% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Score Analysis
    Derry City 58.09%
    St Patrick's Athletic 18.78%
    Draw 23.1%
Derry CityDrawSt Patrick's Athletic
1-0 @ 12.18%
2-0 @ 10.84%
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 6.44% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.8% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-0 @ 2.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.02% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 58.09%
1-1 @ 10.98%
0-0 @ 6.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.41%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 23.1%
0-1 @ 6.17% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.95% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 2.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 18.78%

How you voted: Derry vs St Patrick's

Derry City
100%
Draw
0.0%
St Patrick's Athletic
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Feb 17, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 1
St Patrick's
1-1
Derry
Redmond (89')
Forrester (31'), Lewis (72'), Lennon (76')
McEneff (32')
Patching (79'), Boyce (84'), McEleney (87')
Sep 30, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 31
St Patrick's
0-1
Derry
Kavanagh (70')
May 9, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 23
Derry
0-0
St Patrick's
Apr 29, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 13
St Patrick's
0-4
Derry

(32'), Coughlin (69')
Smith (5'), McGonigle (30', 42'), Dummigan (60')
Mar 18, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 7
Derry
2-1
St Patrick's
Patching (4', 90+3')
McEleney (20'), Thomson (46')
Grivosti (47')
rhs 2.0
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