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Blackpool
League One | Gameweek 21
Dec 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bloomfield Road
Carlisle United

Blackpool
3 - 0
Carlisle

Lyons (22'), Rhodes (67', 90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Barclay (5'), McGeouch (43'), Robinson (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Blackpool and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Blackpool 2-1 Carlisle United

Barring that loss to Portsmouth last time out, Blackpool have found a bit of form of late and will fancy their chances of earning another three points here against an opponent that are winless in their last four. The Seasiders will also know that a victory could take them as high as the top six, which will be exactly where they want to be heading into the busy festive period. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 48.25%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 26.72% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackpool would win this match.

Result
BlackpoolDrawCarlisle United
48.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 25.03%26.72% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 53.3% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.48% (0.0010000000000048 0)49.52% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.44%71.55% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Blackpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.45% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)20.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.93% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)53.07%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.09% (0.0019999999999953 0)32.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.51% (0.0020000000000024 0)69.49% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Blackpool 48.24%
    Carlisle United 26.72%
    Draw 25.02%
BlackpoolDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.7%
2-1 @ 9.41%
2-0 @ 8.47% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.96%
3-0 @ 4.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.76%
4-1 @ 1.96%
4-0 @ 1.77%
4-2 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 48.24%
1-1 @ 11.89%
0-0 @ 6.77%
2-2 @ 5.23%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.02%
0-1 @ 7.52%
1-2 @ 6.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.18%
1-3 @ 2.45%
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 26.72%

How you voted: Blackpool vs Carlisle

Blackpool
85.7%
Draw
14.3%
Carlisle United
0.0%
14
Head to Head
Jul 24, 2021 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Carlisle
0-1
Blackpool
Mitchell (38')
Oct 15, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Carlisle
2-1
Blackpool
Loft (45'), Carroll (87')
Mellish (38'), Carroll (69')
Gray (25' og.)
Spearing (74')
Feb 11, 2017 3pm
Carlisle
1-4
Blackpool
Ibehre (69')
Raynes (64')
Potts (33'), Flores (56'), Odelusi (83'), Delfouneso (86')
Daniel (50'), Robertson (62'), Matt (89')
Sep 17, 2016 3pm
Dec 26, 2006 3pm
Blackpool
2-1
Carlisle
Parker (29'), Murphy (5' og.)
Barker (30'), Evans (74')
Hawley (73')
Lumsdon (45'), McDermott (49'), Raven (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
22Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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